Financial Analysis
Filing-based analysis. Market pricing is not included. Fundamentals from SEC filings; economic data from FRED and the BLS. About our data
GEO GROUP INC GEO
· Construction · General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs
Filing evidence summary
Mixed evidenceCoverage 5/5 core metricsOperating margin changed -3.0 percentage points from the prior annual period.
Backward-looking filed evidence under visible rules - not a rating, forecast or investment advice. Missing data is never scored.
Evidence signals
- Operating margin compressed
Operating margin changed -3.0 percentage points from the prior annual period.
Why this surfaced
Direction threshold: more than +1 percentage point constructive; below -1 point caution. Period end 2025-12-31.
- Free cash flow was negative
Latest reported free cash flow was -$125M.
Why this surfaced
Free cash flow = operating cash flow minus capital expenditures; positive is supporting evidence, not a valuation conclusion. Period end 2025-12-31.
- 4 filing risk checks flagged
Flagged areas: Earnings quality, Solvency & liquidity, Dilution.
Why this surfaced
The full financial analysis shows each value, threshold, and sector limitation.
- Revenue expanded
Latest reported annual revenue changed +8.6% from the prior reported annual observation.
Why this surfaced
Direction threshold: above +2% constructive; below -2% caution; otherwise monitor. This is not labeled one-year growth when filing periods have a gap. Period end 2025-12-31.
Core trend metrics
Hover a tile for its exact definition; the Statements tab carries per-cell filing citations.
Where to look next
Risk checks
- Earnings quality
- Solvency & liquidity
- Dilution
Financial movement
- Cash→ flat
- Long-term debt→ flat
- Inventory→ flat
- Receivables→ flat
- Current assets→ flat
Source & freshness
- Source
- SEC EDGAR XBRL
- Fetched
- 2026-09-06
- Latest period end
- 2025-12-31
- Filings
- EDGAR ↗
Reported segment mix
figures as filed · share of the filed sum · change vs the prior period in the same filing- Us Corrections And Detention$1.83B69.4%+13.9% yoy
- Electronic Monitoring And Supervision Services$321M12.2%-3.6% yoy
- Reentry Services$287M10.9%+3.2% yoy
- International Services Segment$197M7.5%-5.7% yoy
Members sum to the consolidated $2.63B for this period.
- Owned And Leased Corrections And Detention$1.39B52.8%+14.9% yoy
- Managed Only$643M24.4%+5.0% yoy
- Electronic Monitoring Services And Other Reentry$436M16.6%-0.9% yoy
- Owned And Leased Community Based$164M6.2%+0.3% yoy
Members sum to the consolidated $2.63B for this period.
- United States$2.43B92.5%+9.9% yoy
- Australia$177M6.7%-7.3% yoy
- ZA$20.1M0.8%+11.2% yoy
Members sum to the consolidated $2.63B for this period.
- GEO Secure Services$560M79.4%+22.6% yoy
- Electronic Monitoring And Supervision Services$74.2M10.5%-4.5% yoy
- Reentry Services$71.2M10.1%+1.2% yoy
Change is against the same quarter a year earlier, as reported in the same 10-Q.
Source: SEC DERA Financial Statement and Notes data sets. Dimensional XBRL facts on the business-segment, product/service and geographic axes; the engine keeps the accession of every figure. Descriptive and educational, not advice.
Peer percentiles
latest fiscal year ending 2025-12-31 · among 3,990 US-listed filers · 317 in Industrials| Metric | Value | vs all filers | vs sector |
|---|---|---|---|
Revenue latest fiscal-year revenue as filed | $2.6B | 71stof 3,301 top third | 58thof 306 middle third |
Revenue growth latest fiscal-year revenue vs the prior fiscal year | 8.6% | 57thof 3,137 middle third | 66thof 295 middle third |
Operating margin operating income ÷ revenue | 9.8% | 68thof 2,819 top third | 70thof 281 top third |
Net margin net income ÷ revenue | 9.7% | 70thof 3,263 top third | 81stof 300 top third |
Free-cash-flow margin (operating cash flow − |capex|) ÷ revenue | -4.8% | 27thof 2,679 bottom third | 23rdof 277 bottom third |
Return on equity net income ÷ stockholders' equity (positive equity only) | 16.9% | 82ndof 3,576 top third | 75thof 281 top third |
Interest coverage operating income ÷ interest expense (interest expense > 0) | 1.6× | 51stof 819 middle third | 39thof 61 middle third |
Stock comp ÷ revenue stock-based compensation ÷ revenue · lower is ranked higher | 0.9% | 71stof 2,895 top third | 49thof 267 middle third |
Days sales outstanding receivables ÷ revenue × 365 · lower is ranked higher | 82 days | 18thof 2,398 bottom third | 13thof 239 bottom third |
Net debt ÷ operating cash flow net debt ÷ operating cash flow (OCF > 0) · lower is ranked higher | 21.8× | 4thof 1,546 bottom third | 3rdof 149 bottom third |
Cash conversion operating cash flow ÷ net income (net income > 0) | 0.3× | 4thof 1,118 bottom third | 5thof 120 bottom third |
Cash-flow accrual ratio (net income − operating cash flow) ÷ average total assets · lower is ranked higher | 4.9% | 4thof 1,333 bottom third | 4thof 129 bottom third |
Each filer's latest fiscal year as stored by the nightly crawl; fiscal year ends differ across the universe. A metric ranks only filers for which it is computable from filed facts. Ties split; a rank reads "better than N% of filers" in the metric's own direction. Descriptive and educational, not a rating.
Earnings quality
latest fiscal year ending 2025-12-31 · accruals and cash conversion as filedPer fiscal year from filed facts: cash conversion = operating cash flow / net income (net income > 0); cash-flow accrual ratio = (net income - operating cash flow) / average total assets; balance-sheet accrual ratio = change in net operating assets / average net operating assets, NOA = (assets - cash) - (liabilities - debt). Descriptive; a missing input yields a missing ratio. High accrual ratios and cash conversion well below one are the measures the accruals literature associates with less persistent earnings; they are screens to read the cash-flow statement with, not conclusions. The per-year series is part of Pro risk analysis.
Point-in-time ledger
first-reported vs latest filing · periods since 2020-01-01 · 9 changed periods| Line item | Period | First reported | Latest filing | Change | Filings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted shares WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding | fiscal year 2020-12-31 | 119,991 shares 10-K 2021-02-16 | 119,991,000 shares 10-K 2023-02-27 | +99900.0% | first · latest · 3 filings carry it |
| Basic shares WeightedAverageNumberOfSharesOutstandingBasic | fiscal year 2020-12-31 | 119,719 shares 10-K 2021-02-16 | 119,719,000 shares 10-K 2023-02-27 | +99900.0% | first · latest · 3 filings carry it |
| Long-term debt LongTermDebtNoncurrent | balance at 2020-12-31 | $2.56B 10-K 2021-02-16 | $1.93B 10-K 2023-02-27 | -24.5% | first · latest · 6 filings carry it |
| Operating income OperatingIncomeLoss | fiscal year 2020-12-31 | $223M 10-K 2021-02-16 | $229M 10-K 2023-02-27 | +3.1% | first · latest · 3 filings carry it |
| Operating cash flow NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | quarter 2024-03-31 | $85.8M 10-Q 2024-05-08 | $83.3M 10-Q 2025-05-07 | -2.9% | first · latest |
| Operating cash flow NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | fiscal year 2022-12-31 | $296M 10-K 2023-02-27 | $288M 10-K 2025-02-28 | -2.9% | first · latest · 3 filings carry it |
| Operating cash flow NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | fiscal year 2023-12-31 | $285M 10-K 2024-02-29 | $278M 10-K 2026-02-25 | -2.5% | first · latest · 3 filings carry it |
| Operating income OperatingIncomeLoss | quarter 2020-06-30 | $63.5M 10-Q 2020-08-06 | $64.8M 10-Q 2021-08-05 | +2.0% | first · latest · 3 filings carry it |
| Operating income OperatingIncomeLoss | quarter 2020-03-31 | $56.6M 10-Q 2020-05-06 | $56.2M 10-Q 2021-05-10 | -0.8% | first · latest · 3 filings carry it |
First filing reporting each period vs the latest filing carrying it (10-K and 10-Q only, periods since 2020, the extractor's winning tag per concept); a change under 0.5% is treated as rounding. A change can be a restatement, a reclassification or a re-tagging in a later comparative column; the two filings are linked so the reader can see which. Descriptive, not a verdict.
Notes by disclosure type
Not available for GEO yet: no footnote text blocks on file for this filer in the ingested DERA files.
Fundamentals from SEC EDGAR. Scores, the DCF, and every model shown are educational analysis, not investment advice or price predictions.