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Financial Analysis

Filing-based analysis. Market pricing is not included. Fundamentals from SEC filings; economic data from FRED and the BLS. About our data

Fundamentals

Serve Robotics Inc. /DE/ SERV

· Technology · General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC

FY2025 10-K, filed 2026-03-12
SEC EDGAR

Filing evidence summary

Mixed evidenceCoverage 4/5 core metrics

Operating margin changed -2141.9 percentage points from the prior annual period.

Backward-looking filed evidence under visible rules - not a rating, forecast or investment advice. Missing data is never scored.

Evidence signals

  • Operating margin compressed

    Operating margin changed -2141.9 percentage points from the prior annual period.

    Why this surfaced

    Direction threshold: more than +1 percentage point constructive; below -1 point caution. Period end 2025-12-31.

  • Free cash flow was negative

    Latest reported free cash flow was -$118M.

    Why this surfaced

    Free cash flow = operating cash flow minus capital expenditures; positive is supporting evidence, not a valuation conclusion. Period end 2025-12-31.

  • 4 filing risk checks flagged

    Flagged areas: Earnings quality, Solvency & liquidity, Dilution.

    Why this surfaced

    The full financial analysis shows each value, threshold, and sector limitation.

  • Revenue expanded

    Latest reported annual revenue changed +46.2% from the prior reported annual observation.

    Why this surfaced

    Direction threshold: above +2% constructive; below -2% caution; otherwise monitor. This is not labeled one-year growth when filing periods have a gap. Period end 2025-12-31.

Core trend metrics

Latest annual revenue growth
+46.2%
as of 2025-12-31
Latest annual operating margin
-4253.8%
as of 2025-12-31
Free cash flow
-$118M
as of 2025-12-31
ROIC snapshot
-25.3%
period varies

Hover a tile for its exact definition; the Statements tab carries per-cell filing citations.

Where to look next

Risk checks

4of 10 rule-based checks flagged
  • Earnings quality
  • Solvency & liquidity
  • Dilution

Financial movement

  • Cash→ flat
  • Long-term debt→ flat
  • Inventory→ flat
  • Receivables→ flat
  • Current assets→ flat

Source & freshness

Source
SEC EDGAR XBRL
Fetched
2026-09-06
Latest period end
2025-12-31
Filings
EDGAR ↗

Reported segment mix

figures as filed · share of the filed sum · change vs the prior period in the same filing
Fiscal year ending 2025-12-3110-K filed 2026-03-12prior period 2024-12-31 from the same filingView filing
By product or service
Revenue
  • Fleet Services$1.62M
    61.2%
    +158.7% yoy
  • Software Services$1.03M
    38.8%
    -13.2% yoy

Members sum to the consolidated $2.65M for this period.

Latest quarter
Quarter ending 2026-03-3110-Q filed 2026-05-07prior period 2025-03-31 from the same filingView filing
  • Fleet Services$1.96M
    65.6%
    +828.0% yoy
  • Software Services$1.03M
    34.4%
    +348.0% yoy

Change is against the same quarter a year earlier, as reported in the same 10-Q.

Source: SEC DERA Financial Statement and Notes data sets. Dimensional XBRL facts on the business-segment, product/service and geographic axes; the engine keeps the accession of every figure. Descriptive and educational, not advice.

Peer percentiles

latest fiscal year ending 2025-12-31 · among 4,122 US-listed filers · 817 in Technology
MetricValuevs all filersvs sector
Revenue
latest fiscal-year revenue as filed
$3M
6thof 3,301
bottom third
4thof 778
bottom third
Revenue growth
latest fiscal-year revenue vs the prior fiscal year
46.2%
90thof 3,135
top third
89thof 743
top third
Gross margin
gross profit ÷ revenue
-580.2%
0thof 1,603
bottom third
1stof 555
bottom third
Operating margin
operating income ÷ revenue
-4253.8%
4thof 2,819
bottom third
2ndof 752
bottom third
Net margin
net income ÷ revenue
-3823.5%
3rdof 3,263
bottom third
2ndof 770
bottom third
Free-cash-flow margin
(operating cash flow − |capex|) ÷ revenue
-4435.1%
2ndof 2,679
bottom third
1stof 701
bottom third
Return on equity
net income ÷ stockholders' equity (positive equity only)
-28.9%
25thof 3,577
bottom third
21stof 720
bottom third
Stock comp ÷ revenue
stock-based compensation ÷ revenue · lower is ranked higher
801.7%
2ndof 2,895
bottom third
1stof 729
bottom third
Days sales outstanding
receivables ÷ revenue × 365 · lower is ranked higher
117 days
7thof 2,398
bottom third
10thof 712
bottom third
Cash-flow accrual ratio
(net income − operating cash flow) ÷ average total assets · lower is ranked higher
-8.3%
69thof 3,577
top third
55thof 722
middle third
Balance-sheet accrual ratio
change in net operating assets ÷ average net operating assets · lower is ranked higher
186.7%
6thof 3,059
bottom third
5thof 634
bottom third

Each filer's latest fiscal year as stored by the nightly crawl; fiscal year ends differ across the universe. A metric ranks only filers for which it is computable from filed facts. Ties split; a rank reads "better than N% of filers" in the metric's own direction. Descriptive and educational, not a rating.

Earnings quality

latest fiscal year ending 2025-12-31 · accruals and cash conversion as filed
Cash conversion
-
operating cash flow ÷ net income, latest fiscal year
Cash-flow accrual ratio
-8.3%
(net income − operating cash flow) ÷ average total assets
Balance-sheet accrual ratio
186.7%
change in net operating assets ÷ average net operating assets
Cash-backed years
5 of 5
fiscal years where operating cash flow met or exceeded net income
Mean cash conversion
-
across the stored fiscal years with positive net income

Per fiscal year from filed facts: cash conversion = operating cash flow / net income (net income > 0); cash-flow accrual ratio = (net income - operating cash flow) / average total assets; balance-sheet accrual ratio = change in net operating assets / average net operating assets, NOA = (assets - cash) - (liabilities - debt). Descriptive; a missing input yields a missing ratio. High accrual ratios and cash conversion well below one are the measures the accruals literature associates with less persistent earnings; they are screens to read the cash-flow statement with, not conclusions. The per-year series is part of Pro risk analysis.

Point-in-time ledger

first-reported vs latest filing · periods since 2020-01-01 · 31 changed periods, 30 largest shown
Line itemPeriodFirst reportedLatest filingChangeFilings
Total assets
Assets
balance at 2022-12-31$457
10-K 2023-03-31
$8.54M
10-K 2024-02-29
+1869499.8%first · latest · 5 filings carry it
Operating cash flow
NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities
quarter 2023-03-31-$5.59K
10-Q 2023-05-15
-$3.71M
10-Q 2024-05-15
-66317.6%first · latest
Net income
NetIncomeLoss
quarter 2022-03-31-$7.89K
10-Q 2022-05-16
-$3.94M
10-Q 2023-11-15
-49876.5%first · latest · 6 filings carry it
Net income
NetIncomeLoss
quarter 2023-03-31-$11.5K
10-Q 2023-05-15
-$5.14M
10-Q 2024-11-07
-44649.4%first · latest · 6 filings carry it
Operating cash flow
NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities
fiscal year 2022-12-31-$48.9K
10-K 2023-03-31
-$21.4M
10-K 2024-02-29
-43709.7%first · latest
Net income
NetIncomeLoss
fiscal year 2022-12-31-$51.4K
10-K 2023-03-31
-$21.9M
10-K 2024-02-29
-42457.8%first · latest
Operating income
OperatingIncomeLoss
fiscal year 2022-12-31-$51.4K
10-K 2023-03-31
-$21M
10-K 2024-02-29
-40701.2%first · latest
Net income
NetIncomeLoss
quarter 2022-09-30-$13.4K
10-Q 2022-11-14
-$5.36M
10-Q 2023-11-15
-39874.7%first · latest
Operating income
OperatingIncomeLoss
quarter 2022-09-30-$13.4K
10-Q 2022-11-14
-$5.32M
10-Q 2023-11-15
-39620.2%first · latest
Operating income
OperatingIncomeLoss
quarter 2023-03-31-$11.5K
10-Q 2023-05-15
-$4.23M
10-Q 2024-05-15
-36716.0%first · latest
Net income
NetIncomeLoss
quarter 2023-06-30-$17.8K
10-Q 2023-07-27
-$4.97M
10-Q 2024-11-07
-27739.3%first · latest · 4 filings carry it
Net income
NetIncomeLoss
quarter 2022-06-30-$19.2K
10-Q 2022-08-16
-$5.3M
10-Q 2023-11-15
-27518.6%first · latest · 4 filings carry it
Operating income
OperatingIncomeLoss
quarter 2023-06-30-$17.8K
10-Q 2023-07-27
-$4.1M
10-Q 2024-08-13
-22892.6%first · latest
Total liabilities
Liabilities
balance at 2022-12-31$124K
10-K 2023-03-31
$21M
10-K 2024-02-29
+16832.4%first · latest · 5 filings carry it
Stockholders' equity
StockholdersEquity
balance at 2023-06-30-$153K
10-Q 2023-07-27
-$22.4M
10-Q 2024-11-07
-14521.7%first · latest · 4 filings carry it
Stockholders' equity
StockholdersEquity
balance at 2023-03-31-$135K
10-Q 2023-05-15
-$17.5M
10-Q 2024-11-07
-12856.2%first · latest · 6 filings carry it
Stockholders' equity
StockholdersEquity
balance at 2021-12-31-$72.2K
10-K 2022-03-31
$8.32M
10-K 2024-02-29
+11625.9%first · latest · 9 filings carry it
Stockholders' equity
StockholdersEquity
balance at 2022-12-31-$124K
10-K 2023-03-31
-$12.5M
10-K 2025-03-06
-9979.2%first · latest · 9 filings carry it
Stockholders' equity
StockholdersEquity
balance at 2022-03-31-$80.1K
10-Q 2022-05-16
$5.44M
10-Q 2023-11-15
+6888.8%first · latest · 6 filings carry it
Stockholders' equity
StockholdersEquity
balance at 2022-09-30-$113K
10-Q 2022-11-14
-$5.12M
10-Q 2023-11-15
-4441.3%first · latest
Stockholders' equity
StockholdersEquity
balance at 2022-06-30-$99.3K
10-Q 2022-08-16
$147K
10-Q 2023-11-15
+248.4%first · latest · 4 filings carry it
Diluted shares
WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding
fiscal year 2022-12-315,000,000 shares
10-K 2023-03-31
6,896,769 shares
10-K 2024-02-29
+37.9%first · latest
Basic shares
WeightedAverageNumberOfSharesOutstandingBasic
fiscal year 2022-12-315,000,000 shares
10-K 2023-03-31
6,896,769 shares
10-K 2024-02-29
+37.9%first · latest
Diluted shares
WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding
quarter 2022-09-305,000,000 shares
10-Q 2022-11-14
6,871,200 shares
10-Q 2023-11-15
+37.4%first · latest
Basic shares
WeightedAverageNumberOfSharesOutstandingBasic
quarter 2022-09-305,000,000 shares
10-Q 2022-11-14
6,871,200 shares
10-Q 2023-11-15
+37.4%first · latest
Diluted shares
WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding
quarter 2023-03-315,000,000 shares
10-Q 2023-05-15
6,708,450 shares
10-Q 2024-05-15
+34.2%first · latest
Basic shares
WeightedAverageNumberOfSharesOutstandingBasic
quarter 2023-03-315,000,000 shares
10-Q 2023-05-15
6,708,450 shares
10-Q 2024-05-15
+34.2%first · latest
Diluted shares
WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding
quarter 2023-06-305,000,000 shares
10-Q 2023-07-27
6,678,372 shares
10-Q 2024-08-13
+33.6%first · latest
Basic shares
WeightedAverageNumberOfSharesOutstandingBasic
quarter 2023-06-305,000,000 shares
10-Q 2023-07-27
6,678,372 shares
10-Q 2024-08-13
+33.6%first · latest
Deferred revenue (current)
ContractWithCustomerLiabilityCurrent
balance at 2025-12-31$1.8K
10-K 2026-03-12
$2K
10-Q 2026-08-06
+11.1%first · latest · 3 filings carry it

First filing reporting each period vs the latest filing carrying it (10-K and 10-Q only, periods since 2020, the extractor's winning tag per concept); a change under 0.5% is treated as rounding. A change can be a restatement, a reclassification or a re-tagging in a later comparative column; the two filings are linked so the reader can see which. Descriptive, not a verdict.

Notes by disclosure type

Not available for SERV yet: no footnote text blocks on file for this filer in the ingested DERA files.

Fundamentals from SEC EDGAR. Scores, the DCF, and every model shown are educational analysis, not investment advice or price predictions.

Educational content only. Not financial advice. TrendNalysis provides educational and informational financial analysis built from public SEC filings and economic data (FRED, BLS). It is not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market pricing is not currently included. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before investing.